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"Battleground Texas" still a pipe dream...

Michael Ahrens - March 7, 2018

Last night’s results blew up the media/Dem narrative that we heard over the last several weeks about a Dem surge in Texas.

Few quick points on turnout:

  • In 2006 – the last time Dems took back the House – Republicans had a 12-point advantage in Texas primary turnout. Last night, Republicans had a 20-point advantage in turnout.

  • Republicans blew past their own turnout record, casting the most votes in Texas primary history.
  • Despite campaigning like hell and facing two unknown challengers, Senate-hopeful Beto O’Rourke got less than 62% of the Democratic primary vote. (Even disastrous candidate Wendy Davis got 78% in her 2014 primary.)

JOE SCARBOROUGH: It looks like reports that we’ve been hearing leading in talking about registration and early voting, Democrats up 105%, Republicans up 10%. Looks like a lot of those reports about a big blue wave coming in Texas once again – over hyped. And I say once again because we've been hearing of the coming blue wave in Texas now for about as long as we heard about the coming red wave in Pennsylvania up until Donald Trump's win.

Then there’s the *epic disaster* for national Democrats that played out in closely-watch TX-7.

Why it matters: The DCCC says their primary attack in TX won’t be the last around the country. As Buzzfeed’s Alexis Levinson sums up: “Democrats are contending with multi-way primaries across the country. The dynamic is so pronounced in California that Democrats in some districts risk missing the general election ballot altogether. … [Democrats] need to win in districts like this — districts that have long voted Republican but broke with Donald Trump in 2016 — to have a path to congressional control.” 

But after last night, national Democrats’ electoral concerns have only heightened – and party division is that much deeper. 


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