July 17, 2012
“High voter turnout among African Americans helped get President Barack Obama elected in 2008 but a black rights group fears even a small drop in turnout in the November election might cause him to lose or struggle in several key states.
“Leaders of the National Urban League, a civil rights group, released a report on Tuesday that said although blacks voted overwhelmingly for the Democrat in 2008, if the number of African American voters drops even 5 percentage points this year it could tip the outcome in some vital states.
“If that voter turnout rate returned to the 2004 election levels - 60 percent compared with nearly 65 percent in 2008 - the report estimated that Obama, the nation's first black president, would lose in North Carolina and would have a tough time in Ohio and Virginia.
“‘We wanted to point out that turnout makes a difference,’ said Marc Morial, president of the National Urban League. ‘And that African American turnout particularly, in a number of states, could make the ultimate difference’…
“A USA TODAY/Gallup poll of 12 swing states - including North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia - on July 8 showed the pair essentially tied as Obama had a narrow 2-point lead…
“‘That's just an amazing high water mark for democracy,’ she said. ‘Armed with that information we're in a strong position to tell each and every African American voter: 'Your vote does matter’…”
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