The data fueling Trump's 2018 rallies
August 10, 2018
"President Trump uses internal polling and approval rating data from the Republican National Committee to decide where to hold his midterm rallies…
"Once President Trump says ‘go’, we use RNC data to pinpoint the best place to hold a rally," Brad Parscale, Trump's 2020 campaign manager, told Axios. "[W]e’re replicating it across the country as we head to November.
- In Ohio, early and absentee voting put Balderson up by 135 votes in that county before election day, their data showed. And Trump has a 52% approval rating there — three points higher than the vote share Balderson was getting — so they considered that their best pickup opportunity.
- After Trump’s visit last Saturday, Balderson won Delaware County by 5,000 votes.
- The RNC data predicted Balderson would win by 1% (48-47% over Danny O'Connor). His actual lead based on unofficial election returns: 0.8%.
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