After 4 days of early vote in Nevada, Republicans have made significant gains over 2008 performance, cutting into the Democrat’s traditional early vote advantage.
The largest Nevada county – Clark – is heavily Democratic and is the county where Democrats ran up their margins in the past to make up for GOP advantages across the rest of the state. Through 4 days, the GOP has cut into their 2008 margin in Clark County by 12.5% and each day the GOP share of the vote has grown.
Looking at the raw votes in Clark County, Republicans have turned out 14,604 more voters this year through the first four days compared to the same time frame in 2008, giving us a 5,455 vote advantage over the Democrats.
As a share of the total vote the GOP has added 61% to where we were in 2008 while the Democrats have added just 17%.
And most importantly the Republicans are turning out a larger share of new and infrequent voters, while the Democrats have been wasting time and money moving people who would’ve voted on Election Day into the early voting pool. While the Democrats have bragged about registering new voters in Clark County, through 4 days it’s the Republicans who have brought more new voters to the polls.
It is still early in the voting process in Nevada but the trends are unmistakable. In an area the Democrats were counting on a big advantage, the GOP is gaining ground and has the momentum heading towards Election Day.
Elections Election 2012