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North Carolina Early Vote: The Math Doesn’t Work for Obama

RNC Communications - October 28, 2012

As reported this morning in the Raleigh News & Observer, Republicans have cut into the Democrats 2008 early vote margin in North Carolina by more than triple Obama’s 14,000 vote margin of victory in the state.  The GOP has gained 59,153 votes over the same time in 2008, a 10.17 percentage point advantage in a state Obama won by less than 1%. In short, the math just isn’t working for President Obama in North Carolina and his campaign knows it – that’s why he hasn’t visited since that sunny evening in September when he gave his convention speech indoors.

Some key facts on North Carolina early vote.

  • Margin has improved by +10.17 compared to the same time in ’08. (REP +4.01, DEM -6.16)
  • At this time in ’08, Republicans were out-voting Democrats in only 12 of 100 counties. Today that has more than doubled to 27 counties.
  • Republicans have improved their margin against Democrats in 98 of 100 counties compared to this same time in 2008.

And a chart comparing where we are now to ‘08


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