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NYT gets it right

RNC Communications - April 23, 2014

jk. Desperate after losing Nate Silver, the New York Times published a poll taken from people they found outside the DSCC who confidently predicted they’d keep the Senate.

Just the facts:

  • The NYT polls were of adults, not registered voters or even likely voters. Although the ballots and political questions were reported among registereds;
  • Twenty percent plus of their respondents said they didn’t vote in 2012. Just 3 percent of 2010 voters were first-time voters;
  • The NYT poll has Romney winning Arkansas by 1 with their sample of voters when in reality Romney carried Arkansas by 24 points;
  • In Kentucky, the NYT poll had Romney beating Obama by 3 points when in reality it was 23 points;
  • In Louisiana, the poll had Obama winning by 3 points in a state he lost by 17;
  • In North Carolina, a state Obama lost by 3, the NYT poll sample gave him a 7 point victory.

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