jk. Desperate after losing Nate Silver, the New York Times published a poll taken from people they found outside the DSCC who confidently predicted they’d keep the Senate.
Just the facts:
- The NYT polls were of adults, not registered voters or even likely voters. Although the ballots and political questions were reported among registereds;
- Twenty percent plus of their respondents said they didn’t vote in 2012. Just 3 percent of 2010 voters were first-time voters;
- The NYT poll has Romney winning Arkansas by 1 with their sample of voters when in reality Romney carried Arkansas by 24 points;
- In Kentucky, the NYT poll had Romney beating Obama by 3 points when in reality it was 23 points;
- In Louisiana, the poll had Obama winning by 3 points in a state he lost by 17;
- In North Carolina, a state Obama lost by 3, the NYT poll sample gave him a 7 point victory.
Elections Election 2014